The Wizards closed the
2012-13 season Wednesday night with a 95-92 loss in Chicago. The team finished
29-53 on the year, good for 12thin the East and will miss the playoffs
yet again.
Yet, despite their record,
the Wizards appeared to have improved tremendously this season.
When this team was healthy,
they were one of the most competitive in the league. They beat some of the best
clubss including Memphis, Indiana, and Denver in Denver. The roster appeared to
be as good as advertised prior to the season when the team felt they could
compete for the playoffs.
Early season injuries,
however, derailed any postseason hopes the Wizards may have had.
Health was by far the team’s
biggest problem. John Wall was sidelined for the first two months of the season
with a stress fracture in his knee and Bradley Beal missed the last month with
a similar stress injury. Nene has battled a variety of injuries all year,
severely limiting his time and effectiveness on the court.
The number of injuries this
team dealt with over the season makes it hard to accurately grade the Wizards’
season. They have missed the playoffs yet again, but for the second half of the
season they were a competitive team.
Not knowing how to grade them
makes it hard to improve upon it and I believe next year’s starting five will
look very similar to this season’s.
Of the Wizards’ five
starters, only Martell Webster is not currently under contract and the other
four are unlikely to lose their spots. How the Wizards may look to improve
their roster will depend greatly on where they end up in the draft and who is
still available when it is their turn.
With all the talk surrounding
Wall, I expect the Wizards to extend him to a max contract or something close
to it. With Trevor Ariza, Emeka Okafor, and Nene all earning ridiculous
salaries, the Wizards will most likely not making any big moves in free agency.
If the team wants to improve, it will be through the draft.
Last year, perimeter shooting
was the obvious need. This year, there are many spots the Wizards need to
improve upon, but no single glaring weakness.
In terms of the backcourt,
Wall and Beal are obviously the anchors, but the Wizards still need to improve
their shooting and depth. Small forward is probably the most obvious need. Webster
is unsigned and Ariza is a much more effective sixth man than starter. If the
Wizards drop too far in the draft, however, it is likely that players like Shabazz
Muhammad and Otto Porter Jr. will be gone. Webster may not be the long-term
solution at starter, but Webster and Ariza are a good enough tandem to throw
out for one more season.
The Wizards could also look
at big men. Nene’s health is a question mark. He always plays injured and the
team suffers when he is out of the lineup. Okafor is on the last year of his
contract. The Wizards could look for developmental types at power forward or
center. Both Nene and Okafor are paid too much to sit on the bench, but the Wizards
will need to replace both in the near future.
Like this season, much of
next season’s success will depend on the health and durability of the team. If
Wall, Beal, and Nene are all healthy, the Wizards are at worst a .500 team.
With a strong draft and offseason, the Wizards could be a playoff team next
year and could further improve for 2014-15 when they emerge from under the
shadow of Okafor and Ariza’s deals.
Progress may be slow, but the
Wizards do appear to finally be on the right track.
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